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Description
CA-06 Primary Winners: Kevin Kiley, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, Martha Guerrero, Michael Stansfield, Richard Pan, Thien Ho, and Tyler Vandenberg compete to advance from the California June 2, 2026 primary to the district’s U.S. House seat. The Yes outcome resolves if any listed candidate advances to contest the 6th district in the 2026 midterms; No if none do. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Resolution relies on a consensus of official sources, including the California Secretary of State.
Event stats
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Markets
7
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiley | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lauren Babb Tomlinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Martha Guerrero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Stansfield | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Richard Pan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Thien Ho | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tyler Vandenberg | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.