Michael Stansfield to advance from the California-06 primary to contest the U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterms. Settles Yes if he advances, No if another listed candidate advances, and Other only if no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET per official sources.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiley | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lauren Babb Tomlinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Martha Guerrero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Stansfield | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Richard Pan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Thien Ho | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tyler Vandenberg | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.