Description
Hilton Wins the June 2, 2026 California governor primary. Settlement uses official vote totals to determine if Hilton is among the top two and by what margin, with boundary rules supporting the margin brackets.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
May 28, 2026, 21:36
Resolve date
Jul 10, 2026, 13:37
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becerra 10%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Becerra 5–10% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Becerra <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steyer 5%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steyer <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hilton Wins | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bianco Wins | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.