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Description
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026 will be determined from the Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP released on April 17, 2026. Settlement follows the reported growth rate in the official release, with brackets indicating the applicable range; if data falls on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. If no data for Q1 is released by the next quarter’s release, settlement uses the most recently available quarter’s data. Data revisions after the initial release do not affect this market.
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Rules
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html