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Description
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 is measured as the percentage change in real GDP for Q1 2026 from the same quarter in 2025, using the first quarterly estimate release due May 14, 2026. The release date and the official GDP estimate determine resolution; if the Q1 2026 data is not available by the next quarter’s release, the last available quarter’s data will settle the market. If the reported growth falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. Data source: ONS GDP First Quarterly Estimate, UK.
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This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q1 of 2026 compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.