Resolved

1.5-1.8%

Mid

Bid

Ask

Description

1.5-1.8%: UK real GDP growth for Q1 2026 is within the 1.5% to 1.8% range from the same quarter last year, per the initial ONS estimate.

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Price history

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Market stats

Odds

24h change

7D change

—

30D change

—

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

All-time high

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All-time low

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Created

Feb 12, 2026, 22:36

Resolve date

May 14, 2026, 09:43

Position in event

Odds rank

24h volume rank

24h move rank

Status

Resolved

Parent event

Event

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Volume

Markets

Top market

Market Outcomes

Outcome	Odds	Spread	24h Change	24h Volume	Total Volume	Liquidity
Negative	No	—	—	—	—	—
0.0-0.3%	No	—	—	—	—	—
0.3-0.6%	No	—	—	—	—	—
0.6-0.9%	No	—	—	—	—	—
0.9-1.2%	Yes	—	—	—	—	—
1.2-1.5%	No	—	—	—	—	—
1.5-1.8%	No	—	—	—	—	—
1.8%+	No	—	—	—	—	—

Event Rules

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q1 of 2026 compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.