Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? The Texas Democratic and Republican U.S. Senate primaries occur on March 3, 2026, with a May 26 runoff if no candidate wins a majority. The market settles to Dems if the Democratic primary’s first-round total votes exceed the Republican’s first-round total votes; settles to GOP if the Republican total exceeds the Democratic total; if totals are equal or results are not known by November 30, 2026 ET, it resolves 50-50. Resolution relies on official statewide results from the Texas Secretary of State, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028California Governor Election WinnerTexas Republican Senate Primary WinnerBalance of Power: 2026 MidtermsMaine Democratic Senate Primary WinnerTexas Senate Election MatchupTexas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary (total canvass votes in the primary) is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. If the first-round total vote count in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the either relevant election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.