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Description
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? The market resolves based on which party controls the Senate after the November 3, 2026 state elections, defined as more than half of the voting seats or half plus the Vice President. If ambiguity remains, the market stays open until the Majority Leader is selected, at which point it settles to the party of the Majority Leader or to Other if the leader caucuses with no listed party. Settlement follows a consensus of credible reporting or final official determinations of the 2026 results.
Event stats
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Republican Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.