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Description
Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31? markets assess whether the Yes price for the Republican Party in the Which party will win the Senate in 2026? market exceeds a specified value at any four-hour window ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A tie in minutes does not count. Resolution relies on minute-level price data from the underlying market, viewed via the bar chart or the Resolution tab, using the specified four-hour window and the price-scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
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8
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on XXX or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.