Description
Which party will win the House in 2026? The market resolves to the Democratic Party or the Republican Party based on which party controls the U.S. House after the November 3, 2026 elections. If the outcome is ambiguous, the market remains open until the Speaker of the House is chosen, then settles to the Speaker’s affiliated party at the time of election, or to “Other” if the Speaker caucuses with no listed party. Resolution follows a consensus of credible reporting, or final official election certification if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Republican Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.