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Description
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31? tracks Yes-no outcomes on whether the Yes option for the Republican Party in the 2026 House winner market is priced above a specified value during any four-hour window ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution depends on minute-level price data from the underlying odds market, noticable via the Derivative Polymarket interface, with tie cases excluded. If no four-hour window meets the threshold, the market resolves to No.
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-over-60-by-friday or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.