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Description
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026 sees scrutiny of the deposit facility rate after the ECB's March 19, 2026 policy meeting. The market resolves to the bracket reflecting the change in basis points from the prior level, rounded to the nearest 25 bps if needed, with No change as a possible outcome if no update occurs by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Resolved via ECB official announcements and ECB interest rates page.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
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24h gainer
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Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026ECB rate hike in 2026?ECB rate cut in 2026?Bank of Japan Decision in March?Bank of England Decision in March?Bank of Brazil Decision in March?Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?Bank of Japan Decision in April?Bank of Canada decision in March?Bank of Mexico Decision in March?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ bps decrease | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 25 bps decrease | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No change | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Increase | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2026 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its March 19, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the March 19, 2026 meeting. If no interest rate decision or update is published by March 31, 20256, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.