Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final winner markets focus on Belgium, Croatia, Estonia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Israel, Lithuania, Moldova, Montenegro, Poland, Portugal, San Marino, Serbia, and Sweden. The Yes outcome resolves for the listed country that achieves the most points in the May 12, 2026 First Semi-Final; if any listed country is eliminated or cannot lead under Eurovision rules, the market may resolve to No. If the Semi-Final is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Resolution relies on official Eurovision information, supplemented by credible reporting if needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
27
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Croatia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Estonia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Finland | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Georgia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Greece | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Israel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lithuania | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moldova | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Montenegro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Poland | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Portugal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| San Marino | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Serbia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sweden | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.