Description
Poland to win the 2026 Eurovision First Semi-Final by posting the highest score among the listed countries on May 12, 2026. If Poland cannot lead, No applies; Other if no ranking by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
May 7, 2026, 15:48
Resolve date
May 12, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Croatia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Estonia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Finland | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Georgia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Greece | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Israel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lithuania | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moldova | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Montenegro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Poland | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Portugal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| San Marino | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Serbia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sweden | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Country K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.