Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Evo Morales arrested by May 31 is a yes/no market about whether Bolivia’s former president Evo Morales is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). A qualifying arrest includes custody, surrender, booking, or house confinement; non-qualifying scenarios include unexecuted warrants or mere questioning without arrest. Settlement relies on official arrest information, with credible-reporting consensus as a fallback.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
3
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?Elon Musk musk # tweets in March 2026?Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?What will happen before GTA VI?What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night?
Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.