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Description
Donald and Melania Trump are slated to appear at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, at 7:30PM ET in the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. The market resolves to Yes if either Trump or Melania says any listed term in their remarks during that event, with plural, possessive forms counted. Speech content outside the named event does not qualify, and AI-generated audio or video do not count toward resolution. If the event is cancelled or not aired by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2026, the special “-No Qualifying Event-” bracket resolves to Yes and all other brackets resolve to No. The resolution source is the live video of the event recordings.
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22
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ahead of schedule | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Deal | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sleepy / Biden | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Plan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 250 / 250th | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Seat | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Democrat | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Filibuster | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marble | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender / Women's Sports | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie star | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ceasefire | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Strait / Hormuz | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Billy / Roxie | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chicago | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tremendous | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ballroom | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.