Description
Pause–Pause–Cut: Pauses in April and June with a rate hike in July. Resolution uses post-meeting statements showing two holds then a final increase.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Mar 24, 2026, 23:48
Resolve date
Jul 29, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cut–Pause–Pause | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cut–Pause–Cut | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cut–Cut–Pause | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cut–Cut–Cut | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pause–Pause–Pause | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pause–Pause–Cut | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pause–Cut–Pause | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pause–Cut–Cut | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm