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Description
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30, 2026 is measured by whether any Gemini model reaches or exceeds the listed FrontierMath score thresholds by 11:59 PM ET. Resolution follows Epoch AI’s Frontier Math leaderboard for Tier 1–3, with credible reporting as a secondary source if needed. Only studies included in the leaderboard count; non-listed studies are excluded.
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.