Description
60%+: Google Gemini achieves a FrontierMath score of 60% or higher by June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) per Epoch AI’s leaderboard for Tier 1–3. Resolution relies on the leaderboard; credible reporting may be used if needed.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Feb 6, 2026, 23:09
Resolve date
Jun 13, 2026, 06:34
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.