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Description
GPT-5.5 release timing is evaluated against the date when OpenAI makes GPT-5.5 publicly available in the OpenAI ecosystem. A qualifying launch includes public access via open beta or open rolling waitlist, and it must be officially announced or labeled on OpenAI’s site. The primary resolution source is OpenAI announcements, supplemented by credible reporting if needed. If no release occurs by the stated date window, the market resolves accordingly.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prio to or on April 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 23 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No release by April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.