Description
José Mário Vaz to win the Guinea-Bissau presidential election. Settlement follows credible reporting or official results; if undecided by December 31, 2026, market resolves to Other.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Nov 6, 2025, 23:25
Resolve date
Nov 23, 2025, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umaro Sissoco Embaló | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mamadu Iaia Djaló | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Honório Augusto Lopes | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| João Bernardo Vieira | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| João de Deus Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Dias da Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mário da Silva Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Herculano Armando Bequinsa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Siga Batista | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Mário Vaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baciro Djá | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gabriel Fernando Indi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).