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Description
Guinea-Bissau’s presidential election features a first round on November 23, 2025, with a possible second round on November 30, 2025 if no candidate clears 50% of valid votes. The winner will be determined by credible reporting and, if ambiguity remains, by the government’s National Election Commission. If the outcome isn’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
39
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umaro Sissoco Embaló | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mamadu Iaia Djaló | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Honório Augusto Lopes | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| João Bernardo Vieira | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| João de Deus Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Dias da Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mário da Silva Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Herculano Armando Bequinsa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Siga Batista | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Mário Vaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baciro Djá | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gabriel Fernando Indi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).