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Description
Inflation in 2026 is tracked via the CPI 12‑month change reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The market resolves to Yes if any 12‑month CPI increase in any 2026 monthly release surpasses the specified percentage threshold; otherwise, No. Resolution relies on the official BLS CPI news release for each month of 2026, with December 2026 data finalizing the overall outcome once issued.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3% | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 4% | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 3.5% | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Above 4.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.