Description
Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026 is assessed to begin pegging the peso to the US dollar or adopting the dollar as official tender. Settlement follows the start of actual dollarization as reported by credible sources by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026; mere announcements do not suffice, and a pegged regime not necessarily at 1:1 is still dollarization if credible reporting confirms a functional start.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.