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The How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? markets track the U.S. 10-year yield, with outcomes for specific yield thresholds. Resolution occurs if the daily Treasury par yield for the 10-year falls below the quoted value at any date from November 11, 2025 through December 31, 2026, based on the Department of the Treasury's Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates. If no date sees a yield below the threshold, the market resolves to No.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).