Description
No: Argentina does not begin dollarization by June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) or credible reporting does not confirm start of pegging or official tender. The market resolves to No when no dollarization is underway by the deadline.
No: Argentina does not begin dollarization by June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) or credible reporting does not confirm start of pegging or official tender. The market resolves to No when no dollarization is underway by the deadline.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.