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Description
Ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb in the week starting July 20, 2026 are tracked by IMF PortWatch. The market sums the total transit calls for all days July 20–26, 2026 inclusive, across container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker vessels reported by IMF PortWatch. Data resolves once IMF PortWatch publishes the complete tallies; if not published within 14 days, the most recent data will determine the result, with a penalty window for data corrections if there are obvious integrity issues.
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Markets
6
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Related events
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from July 20, 2026, through July 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.