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Description
President-level intrigue centers on the sender of the email bearing the subject “I beat Bush,” purportedly addressed to Jeffrey Epstein. On February 12, 2026 Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that contains the message. The market resolves when an email account is publicly confirmed as the sender by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, via unredacted publication that definitively reveals the address; otherwise the event settles to Not revealed in 2026. Credible reporting will determine the resolution source.
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Related events
Trump out as President by March 31?Trump out as President before 2027?Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Who visited Epstein's Island?Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Epstein client list released by...?Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Bill Clinton charged by March 31?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Donald Trump | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ben Carson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gwendolyn Beck | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Not revealed in 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Placeholder C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Placeholder H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Placeholder K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Placeholder N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Placeholder S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.