Ben Carson to be identified as the sender of the email with the subject 'I beat Bush' by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Settlement occurs only if a public unredaction definitively reveals the sender's address; broad credible reporting may suffice if needed.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Donald Trump | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ben Carson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rand Paul | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gwendolyn Beck | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Not revealed in 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.