Description
Yes: June 2026 temperature increase exceeds 1.29ºC bracket; an anomaly within this bracket resolves the market immediately once the Jun 2026 data is released.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
May 26, 2026, 23:36
Resolve date
Jun 30, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.10ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20–1.24ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25–1.29ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| >1.29ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.