Description
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) tracks the value reported by NASA's Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 resolves the market immediately once data is released. The primary resolution source is the NASA GISS table entry for Jun 2026, with August 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET as a fallback if data is unavailable.
Event stats
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.10ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.20–1.24ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25–1.29ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| >1.29ºC | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.