Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? tracks whether a magnitude 10.0+ earthquake occurs anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Resolution follows USGS Earthquake Hazards Program data; if a qualifying event appears late, the market may stay open through January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET with a fallback resolution source if needed. After a registered event, the market remains open 24 hours to capture magnitude revisions, then settles on the latest official magnitude.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?Natural Disaster in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?How many Tornadoes in the US in March?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.