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Description
Earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher in 2026 are tracked across the globe. The count will be determined by all events with magnitude 7.0+ occurring anywhere on Earth from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, as recorded by the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program. If a significant quake appears on the resolution source after the window, the market may stay open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or until resolution is established by an agreed credible source.
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7
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.