Active

11–13

Mid

Bid

Ask

Description

11–13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher will occur worldwide in 2026. Settlement pegged to USGS 2026 totals, with extension window if late entries arise.

View full event rules

Price history

Loading price history...

Market stats

Odds

24h change

7D change

—

30D change

—

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

All-time high

—

All-time low

—

Created

Dec 31, 2025, 17:12

Resolve date

Dec 31, 2026, 00:00

Position in event

Odds rank

24h volume rank

24h move rank

Status

Active

Parent event

Event

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Volume

Markets

Top market

Market Outcomes

Outcome	Odds	Spread	24h Change	24h Volume	Total Volume	Liquidity
<5	No	—	—	—	—	—
5–7	—	—	—	—	—	—
8–10	—	—	—	—	—	—
11–13	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–16	—	—	—	—	—	—
17–19	—	—	—	—	—	—
20+	—	—	—	—	—	—

Event Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.