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Description
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? concerns whether the Democratic Party of Korea leader Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying arrest includes custody, surrender in response to an arrest warrant, booking after detention, handcuffing and transport to a station, surrender at police or courthouse with counsel, or house arrest/electronic monitoring. The resolution uses official government or law enforcement announcements, with credible reporting as a fallback if necessary.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.