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Description
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? North Korea’s offense to establish control over any part of South Korea would conclude the Yes outcome. The market resolves to Yes if such an offensive begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with official confirmation or credible reporting as the resolution source.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.