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Description
Yoon Suk Yeol being released from custody by March 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) would resolve to Yes, including house arrest or parole scenarios that remove him from state custody. Transfer within the correctional system does not count. The resolution relies on official government or corrections statements, or a broad credible-reporting consensus if needed.
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoon out of custody by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.