Description
Yes: Mike Johnson resigns or stops being Speaker between April 9 and March 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET – note window boundaries). Settlement based on official statements; falls back to credible reporting if needed.
Yes: Mike Johnson resigns or stops being Speaker between April 9 and March 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET – note window boundaries). Settlement based on official statements; falls back to credible reporting if needed.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.