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Description
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by... is a set of yes/no markets on whether Johnson announces resignation or ceases to be Speaker between April 9 and December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET). Yes resolves when an official announcement or credible statement from Johnson or his representative confirms resignation or removal within the window; No otherwise. Primary resolution sources are official government statements or Johnson/representative statements, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
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Markets
5
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.