Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? This market resolves to Yes if McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or vacates his U.S. Senate seat before January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Statements confirming retirement at the term end do not qualify. Resolution relies on official statements from McConnell, his office, or Senate communications as the primary sources.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?Bill Clinton charged by March 31?Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.