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Description
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair? Sen. Thom Tillis, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Chuck Schumer, Sen. Lisa Murkowski, Rep. Kevin Cramer, and Sen. John Kennedy are listed as potential yeas or nays on the first final Senate confirmation vote for Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. The market resolves to Yes if each listed senator votes Yea on the first final confirmation vote; otherwise No. If no qualifying final vote occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No. If the nomination is withdrawn before a final vote, it resolves to No. Resolution sources are official Senate voting records and credible reporting consensus.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thom Tillis | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elizabeth Warren | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bernie Sanders | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chuck Schumer | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lisa Murkowski | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kevin Cramer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Kennedy | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.