Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
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Created
Jan 30, 2026, 21:25
Resolve date
May 13, 2026, 22:29
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thom Tillis | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elizabeth Warren | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bernie Sanders | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chuck Schumer | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lisa Murkowski | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kevin Cramer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Kennedy | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.