Price history
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Description
Scotland’s next First Minister will be the individual formally appointed after the May 7, 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The market resolves only when a First Minister is officially appointed following the election; interim heads do not count. If no First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Official government announcements prevail, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Swinney | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russell Findlay | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anas Sarwar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ross Greer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gillian Mackay | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Cole-Hamilton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Malcolm Offord | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.