Description
Anas Sarwar to be the next First Minister of Scotland, formally appointed after the May 7, 2026 election. Settlement hinges on the official appointment by the Government of Scotland; interim heads do not count.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Apr 23, 2026, 22:26
Resolve date
May 7, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Swinney | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russell Findlay | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anas Sarwar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ross Greer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gillian Mackay | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Cole-Hamilton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Malcolm Offord | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.