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Description
NY-17 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory is scheduled for June 23, 2026 in New York. The market resolves by the margin between the top two candidates’ percentages of valid votes, calculated as the absolute difference divided by total valid votes for those two candidates; if the result falls on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. If a tie occurs between listed candidates, the tie is broken by the alphabetical order of last names among listed candidates; if only one tied candidate is listed, that candidate’s bracket is used; if neither listed, the market resolves to Other. Official NY State results determine settlement, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed. If results are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
6
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conley 15%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Conley 10–15% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Conley 5–10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Conley <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Davidson wins | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.