Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Markets track whether a widely reported coup attempt occurs in Russia at any time through December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). A Yes resolves only when credible reporting confirms a coordinated attempt by military or state actors to seize power; foiled plots count only if independent sources explicitly label them as a coup. No otherwise.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Where will Trump and Putin meet next?Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.