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Description
SCOTUS birthright citizenship rehearing for Trump is anchored by a June 30, 2026 Supreme Court decision striking down the executive order on citizenship. The Yes outcome requires a formal grant of rehearing in the Trump v. Barbara case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A denial or no petition by the deadline resolves to No, and briefing-only actions do not settle. Resolution follows the Supreme Court or credible reporting consensus if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.