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Description
São Paulo Governor Election winner markets cover the October 4, 2026 first round and October 25 runoff (if needed) in Brazil. The winner is settled by the candidate who collects a majority of valid votes in the election, with runoffs resolving as specified. Interim or placeholder governors do not count, and if the result is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET the market resolves to Other. Settlement follows official results reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) or credible reporting in case of ambiguity.
Event stats
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25
Market highlights
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcísio de Freitas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Márcio França | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Erika Hilton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kim Kataguiri | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Placeholder 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).