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Description
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? is a market about whether SpaceX or Elon Musk will announce that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution hinges on a formal announcement from SpaceX or Elon Musk or their official representatives, not on test flights or implied capabilities. The market excludes booster reusability of Super-Heavy and requires only an announcement stating Starship’s full reusability by the deadline.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.