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Description
Tesla and xAI merger announced by June 30, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla, Inc. and xAI officially announce a merger or acquisition (in either direction) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, or if an acquiring party attains a controlling interest. Announcements from either company count regardless of final completion, and a credible consensus from credible reporting may also settle Yes. If no qualifying announcement occurs, the market resolves to No.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.